AI Beat Human Superforecasters, Then Turned $35 Into $1.9M
By TechPulse USA For fifteen years, the best forecasters on Earth were humans — a hand-picked elite so skilled they beat CIA analysts armed with classified data. That era ended on September 5. When the seasonal Metaculus Cup closed that day, the top spots went to machines, and the best a human could manage was third. Then, just to make the point with money, an AI-assisted trader turned $35 into $1.9 million in seven months on Kalshi. This is not a research milestone. It is a business, and it is already open for trade. Update, Oct. 21: the prediction-market boom this story describes just posted its biggest weekend ever. Platforms crossed $11 billion in combined volume over October 17–18 — the first $11B weekend on record — with Kalshi logging back-to-back $4 billion notional days for the first time (Covers, Oct 19). The prior weekend (Oct 10–11) had already set back-to-back Kalshi daily records of $3.91B and $3.96B, about 70% of it from parlay-style “combo” contracts (Crypto Bri...